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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+6.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+6.37vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+5.98vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.93+6.92vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+0.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90+1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-1.20vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08+1.45vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-4.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.10-0.42vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-4.81vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.45-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.04-0.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.37vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.93-2.36vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.07-7.30vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.72-11.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.670.0%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.91Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.45Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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12.67Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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13.92University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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14.64McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.7Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Morrison | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Booth | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 14.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% |
| Ann Sager | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| George Luber | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 30.5% |
| Emmett Weeks | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.