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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.30+0.61vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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4Auburn University-0.69+2.38vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.09-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.97+1.92vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.27vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.97-2.58vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-2.82-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75The Citadel1.2226.6%1st Place
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2.61University of South Carolina1.3029.6%1st Place
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3.46Clemson University0.7315.8%1st Place
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6.38Auburn University-0.692.9%1st Place
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4.74North Carolina State University-0.098.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Georgia-1.971.4%1st Place
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3.98Georgia Institute of Technology0.4110.8%1st Place
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7.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.5%1st Place
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6.42The Citadel-0.973.2%1st Place
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9.02Vanderbilt University-2.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 26.6% | 23.9% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 29.6% | 25.8% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.8% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Blake Daniel | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Katie Kellam | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 30.8% | 18.4% |
| Roberto Martelli | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 23.0% | 25.8% | 16.7% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 3.6% |
| Garrison Clower | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.