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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.53vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+4.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+5.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.96+3.72vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78+6.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.94-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-3.25vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.76+0.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76+2.79vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.59-4.32vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.00-1.12vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.96-5.50vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.37-7.87vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.29-8.49vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-5.22vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.20-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.58University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.72Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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13.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.88McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.5Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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17.13Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 6.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| John Bishara | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 7.8% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 3.8% |
| Philip Koch | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 3.7% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 9.4% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.