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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Thurlow 29.4% 24.9% 21.1% 11.8% 8.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Boyd 3.4% 3.1% 4.8% 6.3% 10.5% 15.2% 20.9% 19.6% 12.8% 3.3%
Gregory Walters 24.1% 23.8% 21.2% 15.4% 9.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 16.8% 16.8% 18.1% 19.9% 14.5% 8.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Jake Tipper 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.5% 4.2% 9.3% 14.9% 20.7% 26.8% 15.2%
Roberto Martelli 12.3% 14.2% 15.3% 18.6% 18.1% 12.1% 6.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Nevin Williams 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 4.7% 8.6% 12.7% 22.5% 27.6% 15.8%
Nicholas DeConto 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 6.0% 9.4% 16.3% 21.9% 18.4% 12.4% 4.0%
Blake Daniel 7.5% 8.9% 10.8% 14.4% 18.9% 19.7% 11.8% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Garrison Clower 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 5.7% 8.4% 17.9% 61.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.