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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+4.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+1.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.16+2.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+4.00vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.41+2.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.17-1.47vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.81-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62-1.57vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University1.27+4.18vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California3.16-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.31-3.13vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University1.27+1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.92-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon2.51-3.66vs Predicted
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17Washington College3.65-8.44vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.49-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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6.28Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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6.53University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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15.18Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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15.18Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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8.56Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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14.92Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.9% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 23.4% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 23.4% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 27.8% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.