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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.63vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+5.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+0.03vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-1.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.97+1.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.00vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.24vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-0.16vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71-1.94vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.79+0.09vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.43-3.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.29vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Pennsylvania1.7715.9%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Naval Academy2.048.2%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.7%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University2.2017.2%1st Place
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3.42Cornell University2.3823.8%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University0.975.3%1st Place
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8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.3%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University0.934.7%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.6%1st Place
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9.84Christopher Newport University0.652.2%1st Place
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9.06Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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12.09Washington College-0.790.7%1st Place
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9.04Columbia University0.434.1%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College-0.271.6%1st Place
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12.03Princeton University-0.321.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 15.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.2% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.8% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 29.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.