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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+4.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+5.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.25vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.59+2.30vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29+2.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.76+3.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.96+1.59vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-2.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.96-0.02vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.37-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-5.88vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.96-7.07vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-0.57vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.00-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-4.23vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-4.15vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.20-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.45Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.44Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.34Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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13.43University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.04McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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13.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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17.13Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 6.4% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 3.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 3.8% |
| John Bishara | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 24.7% | 6.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.