← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.84+5.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.02+4.02vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.28+5.67vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.22vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.94+1.07vs Predicted
-
6McGill University1.00+7.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.96-0.96vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.59-0.74vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.29-0.52vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire0.78+3.83vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76+2.76vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.96-1.95vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.37-4.87vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut1.13-1.66vs Predicted
-
15Brown University1.76-4.57vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University-1.20+0.21vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College1.96-8.14vs Predicted
-
19Harvard University2.96-13.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.71Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.02University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.67Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
-
7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.07Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
13.04McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
-
6.04University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.26Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
-
8.48Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
13.83University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
13.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.05Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.13Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
-
12.34University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.43Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
-
17.21Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
9.86Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
-
5.88Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 3.7% |
| Amina Brown | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 7.0% |
| John Bishara | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 24.3% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 3.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 77.9% |
| Philip Koch | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.