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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+6.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.76+7.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96+5.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+1.43vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29+2.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02-1.17vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.00+4.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.96+0.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-3.73vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.96-4.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-5.65vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13-0.50vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.37-6.08vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-2.31vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-1.20+0.23vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-4.13vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.59-11.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.68Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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6.43Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.9McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.27Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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13.69University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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17.23Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Brown | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Philip Koch | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 23.7% | 6.4% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 78.5% |
| John Bishara | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 8.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.