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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.75+3.57vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.22-0.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.61vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.99+1.22vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35+1.88vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-1.74-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-1.73vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.50-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.86-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57The Citadel-0.758.5%1st Place
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1.77Clemson University1.2253.7%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0512.4%1st Place
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5.22North Carolina State University-0.995.5%1st Place
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4.13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.468.6%1st Place
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7.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.351.2%1st Place
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6.69Auburn University-1.743.2%1st Place
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6.27University of Georgia-1.513.0%1st Place
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6.24Vanderbilt University-1.503.2%1st Place
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8.6University of South Carolina-2.860.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm McAlister | 8.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| William Turner | 53.7% | 25.5% | 13.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 12.4% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Campbell Tate | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 8.6% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christine Moore | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 24.9% | 27.0% |
| Carter Adams | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Pax Poggi | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Peter Chao | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.