Race 4B

saisa-north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lewis Bragg 22.7% 19.5% 17.3% 14.6% 11.8% 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Samantha Bialek 25.7% 22.6% 18.6% 12.7% 8.5% 6.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Malcolm McAlister 13.3% 13.2% 13.1% 12.2% 13.9% 13.4% 10.0% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Pax Poggi 5.1% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 12.2% 14.8% 16.2% 13.2% 6.3%
Campbell Tate 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 11.6% 13.2% 13.1% 12.3% 11.8% 7.2% 2.5%
Tan Tonge 10.3% 10.3% 12.8% 13.5% 13.0% 13.9% 11.5% 8.6% 5.1% 1.1%
Samuel Trimble 5.1% 6.5% 6.8% 10.2% 10.5% 11.8% 13.8% 16.0% 13.4% 6.0%
Christine Moore 2.2% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% 10.1% 14.1% 24.2% 27.6%
Michael Zeller 6.2% 7.6% 8.0% 10.2% 11.0% 11.1% 13.9% 14.6% 12.2% 5.1%
Peter Chao 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 5.5% 8.9% 20.1% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.