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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.22+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-0.39vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.03+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.94-1.27vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Rhode Island0.8820.8%1st Place
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2.64University of California at Los Angeles1.3030.4%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Berkeley0.7417.9%1st Place
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4.43University of California at San Diego0.2210.4%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.069.1%1st Place
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6.02Western Washington University-0.513.4%1st Place
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7.04University of Oregon-1.032.5%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego-0.942.9%1st Place
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6.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 20.8% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 30.4% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 17.9% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Svenja Leonard | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 10.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 21.3% | 31.8% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 24.5% | 23.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.