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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+5.26vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+7.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+5.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+0.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29+1.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.37+0.06vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.59-1.77vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13+2.84vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-4.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.76-1.24vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.96-3.45vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.94-8.14vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.00-1.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-3.18vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.78-4.26vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.20-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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7.23Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.84University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.76Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.86Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.03McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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13.74University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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17.12Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 13.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 3.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 3.8% |
| John Bishara | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 24.3% | 6.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 23.4% | 7.2% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.