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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.23vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+6.57vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.59+3.08vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+9.01vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-1.89+18.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+12.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.20vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53+2.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.68+1.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.25+4.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.58-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+0.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.48-7.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.43-4.45vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+3.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.20+6.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.19-4.45vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.36-4.45vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-3.29vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-5.50vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.50vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-4.61vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.41-0.01vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-0.51-9.67vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-1.46-5.46vs Predicted
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28Santa Clara University-0.67-10.87vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-2.03-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Southern California2.7727.1%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.2%1st Place
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6.08San Diego State University1.5911.0%1st Place
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13.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.4%1st Place
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23.18California State University Channel Islands-1.890.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.3%1st Place
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19.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.5%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Berkeley0.983.8%1st Place
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11.17San Diego State University0.533.7%1st Place
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11.09University of California at San Diego0.683.9%1st Place
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15.35University of California at Berkeley-0.251.7%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Berkeley0.584.2%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.6%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Los Angeles1.487.1%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Los Angeles0.432.4%1st Place
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20.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.5%1st Place
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24.41University of California at Davis-2.200.4%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Davis-0.191.5%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
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17.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.691.1%1st Place
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16.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.1%1st Place
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22.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.2%1st Place
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19.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.5%1st Place
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24.99California State University Channel Islands-2.410.3%1st Place
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16.33University of California at San Diego-0.510.9%1st Place
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21.54University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
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17.13Santa Clara University-0.671.2%1st Place
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23.77University of California at Davis-2.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 27.1% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 23.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| samson grunwald | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 27.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.