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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+6.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.14vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+3.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84-0.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+1.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+1.06vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.58+0.92vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.28+0.96vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29+0.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-3.16vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.37-2.09vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.96-1.39vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.00+0.38vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-0.15vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-4.76vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.96-5.67vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-3.77vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.20-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.06Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.92Connecticut College2.580.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.84Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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13.38McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.85University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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17.23Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 21.7% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Giordano | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Philip Koch | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 4.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 7.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| John Bishara | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 28.4% | 7.4% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.