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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.22+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-0.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.94-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.03-0.95vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of California at San Diego0.229.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Rhode Island0.8822.9%1st Place
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2.6University of California at Los Angeles1.3030.6%1st Place
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3.53University of California at Berkeley0.7417.2%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.067.9%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University-0.515.2%1st Place
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6.83University of California at San Diego-0.942.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Oregon-1.032.5%1st Place
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6.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenja Leonard | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 22.9% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 30.6% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 17.2% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 10.7% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 25.6% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 23.3% | 30.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.