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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+8.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+5.09vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+1.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.37+4.65vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+1.55vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.96+4.33vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.58+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.96+2.25vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-2.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-3.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.97vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.96-5.05vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-4.06vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-0.16vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.96-4.68vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-1.82vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-1.20-0.66vs Predicted
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19McGill University1.00-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.65Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College2.580.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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6.97Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.94Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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13.84University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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17.34Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.38McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.6% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Giordano | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 24.5% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| John Bishara | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 28.1% | 7.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 80.3% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.