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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+4.28vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.59+3.52vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.50vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.53+6.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.68+5.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.480.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+5.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+10.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.84vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.46+6.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+2.00vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+3.93vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.19-4.32vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-3.59vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.03+3.04vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.25-6.86vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.51-6.63vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.40vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-0.67-7.35vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands-1.89-2.92vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-7.88vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-2.20-3.48vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands-2.41-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Southern California2.7728.5%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.448.0%1st Place
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6.52San Diego State University1.599.0%1st Place
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8.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.5%1st Place
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11.0San Diego State University0.533.6%1st Place
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11.33University of California at San Diego0.683.5%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Los Angeles1.488.8%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.032.1%1st Place
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19.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.5%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Berkeley0.583.9%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Los Angeles0.433.2%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.7%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Berkeley0.984.6%1st Place
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12.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.6%1st Place
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21.17University of California at San Diego-1.460.2%1st Place
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18.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.8%1st Place
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20.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.9%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Irvine-0.361.4%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Davis-0.191.7%1st Place
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16.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.9%1st Place
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24.04University of California at Davis-2.030.1%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Berkeley-0.252.1%1st Place
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16.37University of California at San Diego-0.511.5%1st Place
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22.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.5%1st Place
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17.65Santa Clara University-0.671.1%1st Place
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23.08California State University Channel Islands-1.890.1%1st Place
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19.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.8%1st Place
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24.52University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
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25.02California State University Channel Islands-2.410.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 28.5% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Michael McCulloch | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 10.8% |
| samson grunwald | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 22.7% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.