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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.22+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.67vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.99vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.03+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.94-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.74-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of California at San Diego0.2210.3%1st Place
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2.61University of California at Los Angeles1.3030.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Rhode Island0.8822.5%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara0.069.4%1st Place
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6.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.2%1st Place
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5.81Western Washington University-0.515.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Oregon-1.032.2%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego-0.942.8%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Berkeley0.7415.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenja Leonard | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 30.3% | 23.8% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 22.5% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 28.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 32.5% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 24.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 15.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.