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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+8.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.94+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+3.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.82vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+3.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.96+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-3.09vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.37+0.70vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.58-1.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.87-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.96-0.59vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-4.68vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.96-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-0.14vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.00-1.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.96-5.64vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-3.75vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.20-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.81Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.96Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.370.0%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College1.960.0%1st Place
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13.86University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.52McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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17.21Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 21.3% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Giordano | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 24.0% | 6.7% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 21.0% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Bishara | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 29.3% | 7.4% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.