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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+3.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.16+2.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.81+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Florida3.41+3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.31+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+0.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.31vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.33-3.99vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.65-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.92-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida4.17-6.30vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University1.27+1.27vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California3.16-4.74vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon2.51-3.59vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.73vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.49-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.09Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.61Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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6.7University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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15.27Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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15.27Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.95Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 20.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 24.6% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 24.6% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 27.4% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.