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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.22+0.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.03+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-2.34vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.94-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at Berkeley0.7415.8%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island0.8823.4%1st Place
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2.59University of California at Los Angeles1.3029.9%1st Place
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4.48University of California at San Diego0.229.2%1st Place
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5.95Western Washington University-0.514.7%1st Place
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6.91University of Oregon-1.032.8%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara0.069.7%1st Place
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6.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.2%1st Place
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6.88University of California at San Diego-0.942.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 15.8% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 23.4% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 29.9% | 24.6% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 10.7% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 29.7% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 28.3% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.