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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+4.31vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.59+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.26vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.50vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.53+5.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+7.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.19+6.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.58+2.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.72vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+8.10vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.68-1.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.98-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+3.87vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+1.93vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.63vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.15+0.52vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+1.70vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.20+2.46vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.21vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.51-6.71vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.03-0.94vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-15.30vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-0.36-10.40vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Southern California2.7725.8%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.7%1st Place
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6.22San Diego State University1.599.9%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles1.488.2%1st Place
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8.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.1%1st Place
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11.11San Diego State University0.533.7%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.8%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Davis-0.191.6%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Berkeley0.583.6%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Los Angeles0.432.4%1st Place
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20.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.5%1st Place
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11.23University of California at San Diego0.684.3%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Berkeley0.984.9%1st Place
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18.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.7%1st Place
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13.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.5%1st Place
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18.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.7%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Berkeley-0.251.3%1st Place
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19.52Santa Clara University-1.150.4%1st Place
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21.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.3%1st Place
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23.46University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
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20.79University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
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16.29University of California at San Diego-0.511.4%1st Place
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23.06University of California at Davis-2.030.2%1st Place
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9.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.833.5%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Irvine-0.361.6%1st Place
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17.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 25.8% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 32.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 26.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.