Race 1A

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Cusick 28.1% 22.9% 15.2% 12.1% 10.7% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Declan Whitmyer 22.9% 21.8% 18.6% 13.8% 8.1% 6.7% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 10.1% 10.7% 13.9% 13.3% 12.8% 10.1% 10.6% 7.6% 5.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 4.8% 7.5% 9.3% 7.8% 9.6% 12.2% 12.3% 10.7% 8.7% 7.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Katherine Baker 3.8% 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 11.3% 12.5% 11.2% 8.3% 9.1% 6.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Walker Banks 6.2% 6.5% 7.6% 9.6% 11.9% 11.2% 10.0% 11.3% 9.2% 8.2% 5.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Edwin Strong 3.5% 3.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.2% 7.5% 8.7% 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 13.4% 9.7% 3.6% 1.3%
Timothy Siemers 9.0% 10.4% 11.1% 10.6% 11.1% 11.6% 9.4% 9.7% 7.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
John Reddaway 2.9% 2.7% 2.1% 3.5% 5.4% 4.9% 7.3% 8.7% 9.7% 14.4% 14.5% 12.7% 8.9% 2.3%
David Bigelow 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% 1.9% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 10.1% 11.1% 12.8% 18.0% 16.6% 6.1%
Charlie Bess 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 8.3% 9.5% 10.4% 9.1% 10.9% 12.1% 9.7% 8.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.3%
Adam Rybczynski 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 6.4% 10.0% 16.4% 35.4% 16.2%
Dylan Marohn 2.3% 2.2% 1.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 9.3% 11.8% 14.3% 17.9% 13.1% 4.3%
Ian Duffy 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 5.4% 15.9% 68.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.