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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.33+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.24+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+0.42vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.23+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.42+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.56-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76-1.61vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5University of California at Berkeley-0.337.3%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Los Angeles0.2413.6%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara0.5721.3%1st Place
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4.13Western Washington University0.2315.8%1st Place
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5.88University of California at San Diego-0.426.3%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon0.1113.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-1.563.7%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Barbara-0.764.9%1st Place
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4.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2614.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Wu | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| harriet jessup | 21.3% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 15.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| Emily Avey | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 31.8% |
| Lekha Sapers | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 25.9% |
| Florence Duff | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.