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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+7.88vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.90+2.84vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.84-0.07vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.43+2.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.67-1.63vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.07+1.27vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.07-0.87vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland1.02+0.01vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.66-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.47vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-7.58vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.84University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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2.93College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
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6.24Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.37College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.12Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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9.76Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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8.33Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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5.42Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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13.16North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 29.3% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Declan Whitmyer | 19.3% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Bess | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 3.3% |
| David Bigelow | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 6.5% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 34.1% | 16.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 15.1% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.