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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.25+3.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+8.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.32+4.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.09+5.77vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.27+5.87vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.72+7.36vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+5.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07-0.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.63+8.70vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+2.62vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-1.88+7.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.12-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.56-3.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97-2.37vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.41vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-4.59vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-2.17vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-4.24vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.58-3.83vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley-0.63-9.94vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-6.65vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.58-11.03vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-1.72-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.9%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California1.2515.3%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.233.5%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Los Angeles0.325.9%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Berkeley-0.094.7%1st Place
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11.87San Diego State University-0.274.0%1st Place
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14.36San Diego State University-0.722.2%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.516.2%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.4%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Davis0.074.7%1st Place
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19.7University of California at Davis-1.631.2%1st Place
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14.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.2%1st Place
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20.83Santa Clara University-1.881.1%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.1%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Irvine-0.124.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at San Diego-0.583.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Berkeley-0.562.7%1st Place
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15.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.971.6%1st Place
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18.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.9%1st Place
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15.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.892.0%1st Place
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18.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.8%1st Place
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17.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.281.6%1st Place
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19.17University of California at San Diego-1.581.2%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Berkeley-0.632.2%1st Place
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18.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.3%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Davis-0.582.4%1st Place
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20.29University of California at San Diego-1.720.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Max Case | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| tess McMullin | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kekoa Blair | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 20.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Amir Tadros | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Travis Bouck | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| David Carrion | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Karl McCombie | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Bella Valente | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Max Lawall | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.