← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.67+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.43+4.07vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.90+2.01vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+5.05vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.84-1.93vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.07+1.35vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University1.66+1.07vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38-1.65vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.31-2.38vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland1.02+0.04vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.70-5.42vs Predicted
-
12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-2.20vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.50vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
-
6.07Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.01University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
3.07College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
-
7.35College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.07Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.35Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.62University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
-
10.04University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
-
5.58Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
-
9.8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.17North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Whitmyer | 22.9% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 10.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 25.1% | 23.4% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| David Bigelow | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 5.6% |
| Timothy Siemers | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 4.6% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 33.1% | 17.8% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 15.7% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.