← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.67+2.32vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.84+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.43+3.20vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.31+2.58vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.70+0.61vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.90-0.90vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.07-0.09vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38-1.61vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+0.83vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland1.02-1.00vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University1.66-3.63vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.51vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
-
2.95College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
-
6.2Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
-
5.61Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.91College of Charleston2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.39Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
9.83Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
-
9.07Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.37Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.18North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Whitmyer | 23.4% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 27.5% | 23.1% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| John Reddaway | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 2.1% |
| David Bigelow | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 5.5% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 33.6% | 17.7% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 15.4% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.