← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles0.24+3.39vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.11+1.48vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.23+0.19vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.33+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.79vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.27vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76-1.72vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-1.56-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.39University of California at Los Angeles0.2413.8%1st Place
-
3.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.5720.1%1st Place
-
4.48University of Oregon0.1112.6%1st Place
-
4.19Western Washington University0.2314.5%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Berkeley-0.337.4%1st Place
-
4.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2614.4%1st Place
-
5.73University of California at San Diego-0.427.1%1st Place
-
6.28University of California at Santa Barbara-0.766.1%1st Place
-
6.67University of California at San Diego-1.563.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Jane Howland | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| harriet jessup | 20.1% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Emily Avey | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 14.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% |
| Florence Duff | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| Lekha Sapers | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 23.8% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.