Race 5A

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Cusick 28.0% 21.6% 18.3% 11.5% 7.7% 7.1% 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 9.8% 13.7% 11.6% 13.1% 12.1% 11.9% 10.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Walker Banks 6.8% 6.6% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 10.7% 10.8% 10.3% 7.1% 5.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Declan Whitmyer 22.6% 20.4% 16.7% 14.9% 9.3% 7.2% 3.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ali Yarbrough 4.2% 6.0% 8.5% 7.7% 10.3% 10.7% 10.6% 10.3% 10.5% 10.6% 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2%
John Reddaway 1.7% 3.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 6.6% 9.1% 9.2% 13.9% 14.3% 13.4% 10.9% 2.2%
Timothy Siemers 10.0% 10.3% 9.9% 12.3% 11.1% 11.7% 10.6% 8.9% 6.7% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Rybczynski 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 5.3% 5.6% 9.0% 14.8% 33.3% 18.5%
Daniel Lawless 5.6% 5.6% 8.7% 8.5% 10.3% 10.2% 12.7% 9.9% 10.5% 8.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
David Bigelow 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.2% 5.1% 6.5% 8.9% 9.1% 16.6% 20.4% 15.7% 4.3%
Edwin Strong 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 7.0% 10.5% 12.2% 12.9% 12.2% 10.8% 6.3% 1.0%
Katherine Baker 3.9% 4.4% 5.6% 7.1% 10.1% 8.9% 11.3% 10.5% 10.9% 11.0% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.7%
Ian Duffy 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 3.4% 6.0% 13.5% 69.3%
Dylan Marohn 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.9% 5.4% 7.5% 7.7% 11.4% 15.3% 18.4% 14.1% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.