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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.32+7.90vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.72+12.50vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.27+9.42vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.25+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.07+4.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.73vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.12+3.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.09+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+2.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+3.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+2.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.58+6.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.58+0.19vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.88+5.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+1.58vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.43vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-1.13vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.63-0.42vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-5.71vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.40-9.29vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-11.31vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-5.11vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.97-9.11vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.72-5.71vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9University of California at Los Angeles0.326.2%1st Place
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14.5San Diego State University-0.722.3%1st Place
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12.42San Diego State University-0.272.8%1st Place
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5.1University of Southern California1.2515.7%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Davis0.075.0%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.3519.2%1st Place
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8.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.516.8%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Irvine-0.124.4%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Berkeley-0.093.9%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.6%1st Place
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14.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.2%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.1%1st Place
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19.15University of California at San Diego-1.581.1%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Berkeley-0.562.8%1st Place
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15.19University of California at Davis-0.582.4%1st Place
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21.03Santa Clara University-1.880.6%1st Place
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18.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.1%1st Place
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13.57University of California at San Diego-0.582.5%1st Place
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17.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.281.4%1st Place
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19.58University of California at Davis-1.631.0%1st Place
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15.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.892.4%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Berkeley-0.403.2%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.5%1st Place
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18.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.4%1st Place
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15.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.971.7%1st Place
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20.29University of California at San Diego-1.720.8%1st Place
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18.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Diya Correa | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 19.2% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| tess McMullin | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Bella Valente | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 21.9% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Karl McCombie | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Travis Bouck | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Carrion | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.