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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.42+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.24+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.33+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+1.31vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.23-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.56-0.31vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.65vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.11-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.5722.1%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-0.426.8%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Los Angeles0.2412.8%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Berkeley-0.337.4%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.765.5%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University0.2315.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at San Diego-1.564.4%1st Place
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4.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2613.7%1st Place
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4.39University of Oregon0.1112.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 22.1% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Fiona Wu | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Lekha Sapers | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 24.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 31.7% |
| Florence Duff | 13.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Emily Avey | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.