← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.67+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.38+4.24vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.31+3.51vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+5.07vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.07+2.30vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.43+0.41vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.90-2.15vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+1.65vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.84-5.95vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.70-4.43vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University1.66-2.58vs Predicted
-
12University of Maryland1.02-2.03vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.50vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
-
6.24Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.51University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
-
9.07Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
7.3College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.41Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.85University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.65Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
-
3.05College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
-
5.57Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.42Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.16North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Whitmyer | 23.1% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Walker Banks | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 10.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 4.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 27.1% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| David Bigelow | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 5.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 33.4% | 17.6% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.