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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+4.46vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+6.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.67+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.31+1.71vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84-2.92vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.07-0.01vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38-1.60vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.43-2.68vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-0.15vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland1.02-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.49vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.15Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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3.27College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
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5.04University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.71University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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3.08College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.4Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.32Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.85Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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9.07Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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13.17North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Declan Whitmyer | 24.4% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Cusick | 27.1% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 5.2% |
| John Reddaway | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 1.6% |
| David Bigelow | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 5.6% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 34.4% | 17.6% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.