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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-0.72+14.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+5.06vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.07+4.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.12+5.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.08+2.88vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.27+4.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+2.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+0.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58+2.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+1.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.63-0.72vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+2.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.56-2.73vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49+2.07vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-2.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.08vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91+0.73vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-0.83-6.40vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.34-4.03vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.63-3.35vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.58-4.78vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-6.68vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-7.80vs Predicted
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28Santa Clara University-1.88-5.93vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-13.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.13San Diego State University-0.722.6%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.3520.3%1st Place
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8.06University of Southern California0.388.1%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.517.6%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Davis0.075.7%1st Place
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11.37University of California at Irvine-0.124.9%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Berkeley0.086.0%1st Place
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12.47San Diego State University-0.273.7%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Los Angeles0.326.2%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.233.1%1st Place
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13.88University of California at San Diego-0.583.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.6%1st Place
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15.76University of California at Davis-0.581.8%1st Place
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15.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.5%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Berkeley-0.632.2%1st Place
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18.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.281.6%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Berkeley-0.562.7%1st Place
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20.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.1%1st Place
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16.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.891.9%1st Place
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21.08University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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21.73University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.5%1st Place
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15.6California State University Channel Islands-0.832.0%1st Place
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18.97California State University Channel Islands-1.341.4%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Davis-1.631.1%1st Place
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20.22University of California at San Diego-1.580.7%1st Place
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19.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.2%1st Place
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19.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.1%1st Place
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22.07Santa Clara University-1.880.7%1st Place
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15.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Nicoli | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jasper Reid | 20.3% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Beck Boyea | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| tess McMullin | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Max Lawall | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Karl McCombie | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Carrion | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Travis Bouck | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
| Lola Rao | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% |
| Rob Reigelman | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Silveira | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% |
| Bella Valente | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 17.9% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.