Race 8A

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Declan Whitmyer 21.9% 22.5% 17.2% 12.8% 9.1% 7.4% 4.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 10.1% 12.2% 13.4% 12.7% 11.5% 12.2% 9.1% 8.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Cusick 27.8% 21.7% 16.6% 12.5% 10.5% 5.0% 4.0% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Baker 3.4% 5.2% 6.8% 6.6% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 10.2% 12.8% 9.6% 8.7% 5.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Edwin Strong 2.6% 3.3% 4.4% 4.7% 5.5% 7.9% 7.1% 9.5% 12.1% 11.1% 13.9% 11.5% 5.3% 1.1%
Daniel Lawless 6.1% 5.5% 6.3% 9.5% 10.8% 11.9% 10.4% 11.2% 8.9% 8.7% 6.6% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Ali Yarbrough 6.1% 7.6% 7.2% 8.8% 11.4% 9.5% 10.8% 11.3% 11.4% 7.1% 5.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Walker Banks 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 11.4% 9.9% 9.3% 11.7% 9.0% 7.5% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
David Bigelow 2.2% 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.5% 12.6% 16.5% 18.0% 16.5% 5.1%
John Reddaway 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 7.1% 7.9% 7.9% 10.1% 12.5% 13.8% 14.3% 10.2% 2.3%
Timothy Siemers 8.1% 8.4% 10.0% 13.7% 10.7% 8.9% 10.5% 11.1% 8.5% 5.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Adam Rybczynski 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 1.0% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 6.6% 8.6% 15.4% 35.1% 18.2%
Ian Duffy 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 5.7% 14.2% 69.4%
Dylan Marohn 1.6% 1.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.6% 7.1% 6.4% 8.6% 11.9% 14.1% 19.1% 12.5% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.