← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+2.45vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.42+3.94vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.24+1.54vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.23+0.15vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.33+0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+0.23vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.56-0.48vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.81vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon0.11-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45University of California at Santa Barbara0.5720.5%1st Place
-
5.94University of California at San Diego-0.426.6%1st Place
-
4.54University of California at Los Angeles0.2411.5%1st Place
-
4.15Western Washington University0.2314.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Berkeley-0.337.5%1st Place
-
6.23University of California at Santa Barbara-0.766.2%1st Place
-
6.52University of California at San Diego-1.565.3%1st Place
-
4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2614.8%1st Place
-
4.42University of Oregon0.1113.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 20.5% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Fiona Wu | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Lekha Sapers | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 23.8% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 30.6% |
| Florence Duff | 14.8% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Emily Avey | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.