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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.58+13.43vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.27+9.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.12+7.58vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.72+10.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.32+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+5.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+3.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.08+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.56+3.82vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-2.25vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49+7.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.40+0.33vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+2.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91+7.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.72+4.61vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-0.83-2.62vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.34-0.17vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.63+0.64vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.58-0.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-2.40vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-3.70vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-5.48vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-1.88-2.98vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-11.04vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis0.07-17.17vs Predicted
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28University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-12.66vs Predicted
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29University of Southern California0.38-20.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.3520.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Davis-0.582.0%1st Place
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12.58San Diego State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Irvine-0.124.3%1st Place
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15.18San Diego State University-0.721.8%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Los Angeles0.326.9%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.234.3%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.294.8%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Berkeley0.085.7%1st Place
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13.82University of California at Berkeley-0.562.6%1st Place
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8.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.516.9%1st Place
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19.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.9%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Berkeley-0.402.8%1st Place
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16.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.892.4%1st Place
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22.0University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.5%1st Place
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13.91University of California at San Diego-0.582.6%1st Place
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21.61University of California at San Diego-1.721.3%1st Place
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15.38California State University Channel Islands-0.832.1%1st Place
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18.83California State University Channel Islands-1.341.1%1st Place
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20.64University of California at Davis-1.631.0%1st Place
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20.57University of California at San Diego-1.580.9%1st Place
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19.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.1%1st Place
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19.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.0%1st Place
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18.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.281.2%1st Place
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22.02Santa Clara University-1.880.8%1st Place
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14.96University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.5%1st Place
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9.83University of California at Davis0.076.3%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.4%1st Place
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8.04University of Southern California0.386.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 20.0% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amir Tadros | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ian Marshall | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Beck Boyea | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Max Case | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Travis Bouck | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Lola Rao | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% |
| Rob Reigelman | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Bella Valente | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Karl McCombie | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.8% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.