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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+4.48vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+6.81vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+2.03vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.67-0.64vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84-1.97vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.07+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland1.02+2.72vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.43-1.77vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38-2.56vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-0.13vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.66-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.31-6.53vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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5.03University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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6.23Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.44Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.87Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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8.42Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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13.18North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Whitmyer | 20.6% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 26.6% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| David Bigelow | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Walker Banks | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 5.8% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 35.5% | 16.9% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.