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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.01vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.71+7.01vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+4.71vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.79+8.11vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+4.71vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.26vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97-1.84vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-6.42vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.58vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.43-3.25vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.17vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Georgetown University2.2019.3%1st Place
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9.01Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University0.934.7%1st Place
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12.11Washington College-0.790.9%1st Place
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9.71Christopher Newport University0.652.9%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.3%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.6%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy2.049.6%1st Place
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7.16Old Dominion University0.975.5%1st Place
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3.58Cornell University2.3820.6%1st Place
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4.42University of Pennsylvania1.7715.1%1st Place
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8.75Columbia University0.433.9%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Maritime College-0.271.8%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.8%1st Place
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12.03Princeton University-0.320.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 19.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 31.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 20.6% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.