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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.62+7.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+2.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Florida3.41+3.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.16+0.74vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+1.36vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.27+6.87vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.17-2.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.16-0.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.81-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.85-1.82vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.33-8.00vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.92-4.19vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.27-1.13vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.49-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon1.97-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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4.1Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.04Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.36Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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14.87Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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14.87Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.73Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Bowen | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.2% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 21.3% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 21.3% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.