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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.31+5.50vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.43+4.13vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+1.07vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.67-1.63vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84-2.88vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-0.81vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.66+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24+2.59vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.89vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.94+2.23vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.07-4.74vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland1.02-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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3.37College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
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3.12College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
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6.19Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.31Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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9.11Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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13.23North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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9.73Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Yarbrough | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Walker Banks | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Whitmyer | 21.5% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 26.7% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 35.6% | 18.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 14.6% | 70.3% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 3.5% |
| David Bigelow | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.