Race 11A

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John Reddaway 2.0% 3.2% 2.3% 3.6% 5.0% 7.1% 7.2% 8.9% 9.4% 10.8% 16.1% 13.2% 8.9% 2.3%
Timothy Siemers 8.5% 10.1% 11.6% 12.3% 11.5% 11.7% 9.1% 9.4% 7.8% 3.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.8% 6.5% 8.9% 9.5% 8.7% 9.8% 12.3% 10.4% 9.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Walker Banks 4.4% 7.7% 8.8% 10.2% 10.8% 11.1% 10.4% 10.0% 9.5% 8.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 9.2% 10.0% 13.4% 13.6% 12.2% 11.3% 9.5% 8.3% 5.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Edwin Strong 2.3% 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 6.3% 5.0% 9.0% 10.4% 11.8% 12.5% 12.7% 11.3% 5.5% 1.2%
Jack Cusick 29.6% 22.0% 16.7% 12.1% 9.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Declan Whitmyer 22.4% 21.0% 16.5% 12.7% 9.0% 9.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ali Yarbrough 6.2% 5.4% 6.6% 8.8% 8.9% 10.8% 11.8% 10.9% 11.0% 8.8% 6.0% 3.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Adam Rybczynski 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 6.7% 10.4% 15.4% 33.7% 19.3%
Katherine Baker 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 9.1% 8.5% 10.1% 11.0% 12.6% 10.0% 7.5% 6.9% 2.0% 0.2%
David Bigelow 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 5.1% 6.6% 7.5% 11.8% 15.5% 18.6% 15.3% 5.4%
Dylan Marohn 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 4.7% 4.3% 5.4% 6.7% 8.8% 11.1% 14.1% 18.8% 14.3% 3.5%
Ian Duffy 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 3.0% 6.5% 15.8% 67.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.