← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel1.22+2.10vs Predicted
-
2Duke University0.48+3.37vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University0.77+1.12vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.98-1.91vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina0.63-0.86vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-0.53vs Predicted
-
7Auburn University-0.69+0.09vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.33vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-1.51-1.06vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-1.11-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1The Citadel1.2220.4%1st Place
-
5.37Duke University0.485.2%1st Place
-
4.12North Carolina State University0.7710.2%1st Place
-
2.09College of Charleston1.9842.2%1st Place
-
4.14University of South Carolina0.6310.1%1st Place
-
5.47Georgia Institute of Technology-0.085.9%1st Place
-
7.09Auburn University-0.691.9%1st Place
-
8.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.2%1st Place
-
7.94University of Georgia-1.511.3%1st Place
-
7.34University of South Carolina-1.111.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gregory Walters | 20.4% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Carolina Cassedy | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Harrison Bailey | 10.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Charles Mckenzie | 42.2% | 27.8% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ian Street | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Cole Woerner | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Sara Boyd | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 11.2% |
Nevin Williams | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 40.1% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 23.8% | 28.7% |
Thomas Gallant | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.