← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.67+2.28vs Predicted
-
2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+6.84vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.38+3.33vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.31+2.56vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.84-1.95vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.70-0.34vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-0.94+6.08vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.43-1.83vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.07-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-0.10vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.90-5.92vs Predicted
-
12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.35vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland1.02-3.10vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University1.66-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
-
8.84Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
6.33Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.56University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
-
3.05College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
-
5.66Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
-
13.08North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
6.17Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.25College of Charleston2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.9Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
-
5.08University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
11.65University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.24Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Whitmyer | 23.4% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 25.4% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 16.1% | 66.5% |
| Walker Banks | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Marohn | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 4.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 11.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 34.2% | 19.7% |
| David Bigelow | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.