← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.98+1.11vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel1.22+1.11vs Predicted
-
3Duke University0.48+2.34vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina0.63+0.13vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.46vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-1.11+1.27vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University0.77-2.92vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.51+0.07vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.75vs Predicted
-
10Auburn University-0.69-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.11College of Charleston1.9841.9%1st Place
-
3.11The Citadel1.2219.6%1st Place
-
5.34Duke University0.485.1%1st Place
-
4.13University of South Carolina0.6311.2%1st Place
-
5.46Georgia Institute of Technology-0.085.1%1st Place
-
7.27University of South Carolina-1.112.2%1st Place
-
4.08North Carolina State University0.7710.7%1st Place
-
8.07University of Georgia-1.511.1%1st Place
-
8.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.3%1st Place
-
7.17Auburn University-0.691.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charles Mckenzie | 41.9% | 26.8% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Gregory Walters | 19.6% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Carolina Cassedy | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
Ian Street | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Cole Woerner | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
Thomas Gallant | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 15.6% |
Harrison Bailey | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 29.9% |
Nevin Williams | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 38.0% |
Sara Boyd | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.