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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.31+4.39vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+3.37vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70+1.56vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.07+2.34vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.67-2.59vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.43-0.97vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+1.67vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.66-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-4.94vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland1.02-3.15vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.94-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.56Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.34College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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3.41College of Charleston3.670.2%1st Place
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6.03Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.67Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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8.45Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.09Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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13.17North Carolina State University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 28.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Declan Whitmyer | 21.8% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Marohn | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 5.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 34.5% | 16.8% |
| David Bigelow | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 4.4% |
| Ian Duffy | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.