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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+1.82vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.48vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.57+2.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.56-1.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.29vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.58-0.67vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.74-1.38vs Predicted
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10-2.59-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of South Carolina1.1822.3%1st Place
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2.48North Carolina State University1.5329.8%1st Place
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5.66Duke University-0.573.2%1st Place
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2.36College of Charleston1.5631.6%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.055.9%1st Place
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5.98Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.0%1st Place
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7.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.3%1st Place
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7.33University of South Carolina-1.581.1%1st Place
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7.62Auburn University-1.741.1%1st Place
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8.78-2.590.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 22.3% | 22.9% | 24.7% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.8% | 27.0% | 22.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Homberger | 31.6% | 27.9% | 21.2% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 11.6% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 23.0% | 12.3% |
| Carter Adams | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 18.9% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.