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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.77vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+3.10vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.74+1.72vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.14+2.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.30+1.03vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.56-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland1.00+2.13vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.20-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.24-2.86vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.88vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.88-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70+0.52vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-0.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.72College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.39Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston2.300.1%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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6.18Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.14University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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8.12Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.16Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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12.11North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 20.5% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hause | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| John Roberts | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 27.9% | 39.0% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 22.2% | 27.7% | 28.5% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 18.7% | 30.3% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.