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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+1.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-1.58+4.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.56-1.63vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.57+0.62vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-3.49vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.05vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-1.74-0.38vs Predicted
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9-2.59-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of South Carolina1.1821.9%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.056.5%1st Place
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7.35University of South Carolina-1.581.2%1st Place
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2.37College of Charleston1.5634.1%1st Place
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5.62Duke University-0.573.3%1st Place
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2.51North Carolina State University1.5327.0%1st Place
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5.95Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.7%1st Place
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7.62Auburn University-1.741.1%1st Place
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8.79-2.590.7%1st Place
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7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 21.9% | 23.2% | 25.3% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 14.5% |
| Ethan Homberger | 34.1% | 25.8% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.0% | 28.2% | 23.6% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Carter Adams | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 25.2% | 17.3% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 52.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.