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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.24+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+1.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.54+2.63vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.20+2.66vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.88+2.68vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.74-0.82vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.56-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland1.00+1.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.76vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.14-3.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.30-4.64vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.49vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-0.44vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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5.63Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.66Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.68Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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5.37College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.89Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston2.300.1%1st Place
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8.51Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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12.56North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 20.0% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erik Brydges | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Roberts | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mackey | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Crouse | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 4.5% |
| Austin Neuman | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Seth Barrows | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Hause | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Cole Barclay | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 35.7% | 40.2% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 28.3% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.