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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.56+1.30vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.57+3.67vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-0.52vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+2.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.18-3.14vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.58+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.79vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.74-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.59-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3College of Charleston1.5633.8%1st Place
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5.67Duke University-0.573.9%1st Place
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2.48North Carolina State University1.5328.4%1st Place
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6.01Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.7%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.056.6%1st Place
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2.86University of South Carolina1.1820.5%1st Place
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7.33University of South Carolina-1.581.4%1st Place
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7.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.4%1st Place
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7.63Auburn University-1.741.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Georgia-2.590.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 33.8% | 28.1% | 20.3% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 28.4% | 28.1% | 22.4% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 20.5% | 22.7% | 25.0% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 14.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 11.8% |
| Carter Adams | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 18.8% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.