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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.56+1.42vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.18-0.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.69vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35+3.27vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.57-0.56vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.58-0.85vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.74-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.59-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42College of Charleston1.5630.4%1st Place
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2.45North Carolina State University1.5330.0%1st Place
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2.79University of South Carolina1.1821.8%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.056.5%1st Place
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8.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.7%1st Place
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5.44Duke University-0.574.3%1st Place
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5.81Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.5%1st Place
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7.15University of South Carolina-1.581.3%1st Place
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7.36Auburn University-1.741.3%1st Place
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8.63University of Georgia-2.590.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 30.4% | 27.1% | 22.0% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 30.0% | 26.5% | 21.9% | 14.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 21.8% | 23.8% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moore | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 26.5% | 30.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 9.9% |
| Carter Adams | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.