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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.56+4.51vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+4.62vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+0.96vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.54+1.68vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.74+0.16vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.30+0.43vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.20-0.61vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.50vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.88-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24-3.43vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.48+1.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.83vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland1.00-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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6.62Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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3.96University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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5.68Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.16College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston2.300.1%1st Place
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6.39Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.66Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.57University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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12.67North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Sutter | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Seth Barrows | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 20.1% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 10.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Hause | 9.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| John Roberts | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 33.6% | 42.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Crouse | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 25.0% | 14.6% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 29.8% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.