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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+1.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.64vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+2.80vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53-1.61vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.56-2.63vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.57-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35+1.30vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.58-0.80vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.74-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.59-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of South Carolina1.1822.6%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.056.1%1st Place
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5.8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.8%1st Place
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2.39North Carolina State University1.5331.4%1st Place
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2.37College of Charleston1.5631.2%1st Place
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5.49Duke University-0.573.2%1st Place
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8.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.4%1st Place
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7.2University of South Carolina-1.581.8%1st Place
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7.41Auburn University-1.740.4%1st Place
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8.65University of Georgia-2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 22.6% | 23.9% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 31.4% | 28.0% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Homberger | 31.2% | 28.0% | 22.2% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Christine Moore | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 26.0% | 32.5% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 9.8% |
| Carter Adams | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 13.1% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.