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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.59vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+6.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.71vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.43+4.96vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-0.84vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+2.89vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.970.00vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.18vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.79+2.10vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.77-7.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.84vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.14vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Cornell University2.3821.1%1st Place
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8.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.2%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.048.8%1st Place
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8.96Columbia University0.433.2%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University2.2016.8%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University0.713.3%1st Place
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7.0Old Dominion University0.976.5%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University0.935.7%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.9%1st Place
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12.1Washington College-0.791.1%1st Place
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9.77Christopher Newport University0.653.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Pennsylvania1.7715.2%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.5%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Maritime College-0.272.2%1st Place
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12.11Princeton University-0.321.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 21.1% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 31.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.