Race 8B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Mohney 20.4% 16.8% 14.7% 11.2% 10.6% 7.9% 6.3% 4.6% 3.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 10.7% 11.6% 10.3% 9.4% 11.2% 9.6% 10.3% 7.8% 7.3% 5.1% 3.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Erik Brydges 7.3% 7.7% 7.3% 8.8% 6.5% 9.1% 9.8% 8.7% 10.3% 9.3% 8.3% 6.0% 0.5% 0.4%
Joseph Crouse 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 6.8% 8.8% 11.5% 25.1% 17.6% 3.4%
Nicole Hause 6.8% 7.6% 8.6% 9.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.0% 9.3% 9.2% 7.7% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Alison Knoles 7.0% 6.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 11.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Sarah Mackey 13.7% 14.2% 12.3% 10.6% 10.8% 10.1% 7.4% 6.7% 6.1% 3.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Seth Barrows 7.2% 7.4% 8.7% 7.1% 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 10.5% 8.2% 8.7% 7.8% 7.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Cole Barclay 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 4.1% 7.1% 37.1% 41.5%
Austin Neuman 5.6% 5.9% 5.3% 7.9% 9.2% 7.6% 9.0% 8.7% 10.7% 9.9% 9.8% 8.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Kyle Sutter 9.9% 9.8% 9.2% 11.8% 10.1% 10.3% 9.1% 8.9% 7.1% 6.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Kelley 0.2% 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 3.3% 6.9% 28.7% 52.6%
Marten Kendrick 4.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 4.8% 6.0% 10.0% 9.9% 11.8% 13.9% 14.5% 5.8% 1.0%
John Roberts 4.6% 6.1% 6.4% 6.2% 7.5% 8.8% 7.1% 8.0% 10.3% 11.9% 11.9% 8.3% 2.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.