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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland1.00+6.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.56+1.61vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.30+1.43vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+2.67vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88+0.29vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.14-1.24vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.74-3.85vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.20-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70+0.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-5.94vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.48-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.85University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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9.84University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston2.300.1%1st Place
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8.67Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.29Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.76Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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5.15College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.73Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.54University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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12.58North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.2% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 26.7% | 14.3% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Sutter | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Hause | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| John Roberts | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Seth Barrows | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mackey | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 29.5% | 53.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 36.3% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.