Race 10B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Mohney 20.3% 17.6% 13.3% 13.2% 9.7% 7.1% 7.3% 4.3% 3.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Crouse 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 5.7% 8.3% 14.3% 23.1% 14.8% 4.2%
Kyle Sutter 11.8% 10.5% 10.5% 8.4% 10.3% 9.7% 9.4% 7.4% 8.1% 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Mackey 10.5% 14.2% 11.9% 11.8% 11.1% 8.8% 7.8% 7.6% 6.5% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicole Hause 7.3% 6.7% 9.4% 9.8% 8.6% 8.7% 8.5% 10.3% 9.4% 8.1% 8.4% 4.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Alison Knoles 7.6% 5.8% 9.2% 8.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.6% 9.5% 9.4% 9.2% 7.1% 5.5% 1.8% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 8.5% 7.8% 8.4% 8.3% 9.7% 7.8% 8.9% 8.9% 9.9% 7.8% 7.0% 5.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 4.1% 4.9% 4.2% 4.6% 5.7% 5.3% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 11.1% 12.5% 15.1% 7.3% 1.8%
Ian Ikeda 9.7% 9.1% 11.4% 10.1% 8.8% 11.7% 8.9% 9.1% 6.0% 7.5% 4.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Austin Neuman 5.8% 6.2% 5.0% 8.1% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.9% 10.4% 10.3% 10.7% 7.2% 2.2% 0.6%
John Roberts 4.8% 6.0% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 6.9% 8.2% 10.4% 9.5% 10.5% 12.0% 9.8% 3.5% 0.4%
Cole Barclay 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 3.4% 9.3% 35.5% 42.2%
Seth Barrows 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.0% 7.8% 9.8% 9.3% 7.7% 10.4% 9.8% 7.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Andrew Kelley 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 3.4% 8.3% 29.5% 50.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.