Race 11B

saisa-maisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Sutter 10.7% 10.8% 12.3% 9.6% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 8.0% 6.7% 4.3% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Benjamin Mohney 20.3% 16.7% 15.4% 13.8% 9.4% 8.6% 5.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alison Knoles 6.9% 7.9% 9.6% 7.6% 7.9% 8.9% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Erik Brydges 6.2% 7.5% 8.2% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 8.1% 7.3% 6.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Nicole Hause 6.8% 8.8% 7.9% 10.0% 8.5% 8.1% 10.7% 8.6% 7.8% 9.2% 7.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Ian Ikeda 9.9% 9.6% 9.6% 10.5% 11.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.9% 7.5% 6.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Seth Barrows 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 7.7% 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 10.7% 8.4% 9.8% 7.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Sarah Mackey 13.4% 12.8% 10.6% 11.0% 10.1% 10.2% 6.6% 8.2% 6.9% 5.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Joseph Crouse 2.8% 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.6% 4.7% 8.0% 9.0% 14.0% 24.9% 14.5% 4.9%
John Roberts 5.2% 4.4% 4.9% 6.2% 8.1% 8.3% 8.7% 7.8% 11.0% 11.0% 9.7% 11.1% 3.2% 0.4%
Marten Kendrick 3.9% 3.5% 3.7% 4.2% 6.6% 6.8% 5.7% 8.0% 8.9% 12.0% 12.3% 15.4% 7.5% 1.5%
Austin Neuman 5.6% 6.3% 5.6% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 9.6% 9.5% 9.4% 10.2% 7.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Andrew Kelley 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 3.3% 6.9% 28.2% 52.7%
Cole Barclay 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 4.9% 8.3% 37.2% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.