Race 12B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Sutter 10.3% 10.6% 11.6% 11.0% 9.9% 9.3% 9.7% 7.1% 6.2% 6.2% 4.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Nicole Hause 7.9% 10.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.1% 9.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.8% 7.9% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Benjamin Mohney 20.7% 16.4% 14.8% 12.1% 8.9% 8.6% 7.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 8.9% 11.5% 10.1% 9.2% 10.9% 10.9% 8.6% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Sarah Mackey 9.9% 12.3% 12.7% 13.5% 8.9% 9.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.6% 5.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 7.6% 5.9% 8.0% 7.7% 8.3% 10.2% 8.3% 8.0% 11.9% 7.5% 7.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.1%
John Roberts 5.5% 7.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 9.5% 8.7% 11.1% 11.7% 8.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Austin Neuman 6.9% 6.7% 7.1% 6.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.9% 10.3% 8.2% 2.9% 0.2%
Alison Knoles 8.2% 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 9.9% 9.1% 9.8% 10.2% 9.5% 8.2% 6.9% 5.2% 1.7% 0.0%
Seth Barrows 6.7% 6.6% 5.8% 8.9% 8.8% 6.9% 9.8% 10.2% 10.4% 8.9% 8.6% 6.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Marten Kendrick 4.2% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 12.3% 13.6% 15.4% 7.4% 1.3%
Joseph Crouse 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 2.9% 4.3% 6.2% 6.3% 9.5% 14.4% 23.7% 15.5% 4.4%
Andrew Kelley 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 3.3% 8.3% 25.7% 54.0%
Cole Barclay 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 4.9% 9.0% 36.5% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.