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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.99vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+3.38vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.56+2.52vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.20+2.67vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.30+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+0.61vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88+0.30vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.14-1.29vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.74-3.87vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland1.00-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-0.15vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.48-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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5.38Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.52College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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6.67Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.44College of Charleston2.300.1%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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7.3Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.71Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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5.13College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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8.64Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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12.59North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hause | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Roberts | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Seth Barrows | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Crouse | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 23.3% | 15.7% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Kelley | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 26.8% | 53.5% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 35.7% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.