Race 14B

saisa-maisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sarah Mackey 12.2% 13.2% 13.7% 10.2% 11.4% 9.2% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 10.5% 12.3% 10.4% 10.5% 9.7% 9.0% 9.5% 9.2% 7.3% 5.6% 3.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 4.4% 4.3% 3.9% 4.5% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.3% 8.0% 12.3% 14.5% 15.3% 6.6% 1.3%
Benjamin Mohney 18.9% 17.7% 13.1% 13.0% 8.9% 9.3% 6.1% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Barrows 5.2% 6.7% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.5% 9.6% 10.4% 8.3% 6.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Alison Knoles 7.5% 6.3% 7.7% 8.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.3% 9.1% 9.1% 7.8% 8.6% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Nicole Hause 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 7.4% 10.1% 8.6% 10.0% 8.9% 7.7% 8.0% 6.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Joseph Crouse 2.1% 3.7% 1.8% 3.4% 4.1% 3.6% 3.4% 5.6% 6.1% 8.9% 13.2% 22.9% 16.8% 4.4%
John Roberts 5.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 6.5% 9.6% 7.7% 12.0% 10.9% 12.2% 8.6% 3.4% 0.5%
Erik Brydges 7.4% 6.1% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.4% 8.2% 10.3% 9.4% 9.5% 5.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Kyle Sutter 11.4% 8.5% 10.8% 12.0% 7.6% 10.4% 8.9% 9.3% 7.9% 6.0% 3.4% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Austin Neuman 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 6.9% 9.4% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Andrew Kelley 0.8% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 3.0% 6.7% 28.1% 53.0%
Cole Barclay 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 9.6% 36.4% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.