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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.85+3.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.47+0.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12-1.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.60-2.86vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.56-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.45+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.21-2.92vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.85-3.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.5Brown University2.470.3%1st Place
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2.82Tufts University2.120.2%1st Place
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2.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.600.4%1st Place
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4.88McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.7University of New Hampshire-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.97Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janelle Veary | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 22.5% | 24.8% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Altreuter | 26.0% | 29.4% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Pringle | 22.2% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Ladd | 37.5% | 28.5% | 21.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Parker | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 27.7% | 40.4% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 26.0% | 22.7% | 14.2% | 6.2% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 24.5% | 24.5% | 19.8% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 26.8% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.