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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.47+1.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+0.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.60-0.77vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.56+0.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.85-1.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21+0.41vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.85-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.45-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.21-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Brown University2.470.3%1st Place
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2.92Tufts University2.120.2%1st Place
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2.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.600.4%1st Place
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4.89McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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4.43Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.0Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.72University of New Hampshire-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristin Altreuter | 29.8% | 27.7% | 24.8% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Pringle | 18.5% | 23.4% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Ladd | 36.0% | 27.7% | 19.6% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 20.4% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Janelle Veary | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 23.8% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 28.5% | 30.5% |
| Michael Partridge | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 24.2% | 26.4% | 18.4% |
| Tyler Parker | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 44.3% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 25.1% | 22.2% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.