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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.91+5.21vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.50+1.71vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.33+1.06vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77-0.97vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.05-1.47vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.13-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.19-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Rollins College-0.914.0%1st Place
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3.71Embry-Riddle University0.5016.8%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University0.3314.0%1st Place
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3.03Florida State University0.7725.9%1st Place
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5.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.8%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida0.0510.9%1st Place
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4.96Jacksonville University-0.138.6%1st Place
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4.3University of Miami0.1912.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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William Ciniski | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 41.5% |
Mitchell Quinn | 16.8% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
Lucien Parker | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
Katie Nelson | 25.9% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Brandon DePalma | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 18.4% |
Timothy Brustoski | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
Ella DesChamps | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 13.7% |
Marina Geilen | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.