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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.63+3.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.46-0.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.89-0.35vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.61+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.54+0.82vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.84+0.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.80-2.92vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.09-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Tufts University0.630.0%1st Place
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1.37Northeastern University3.460.7%1st Place
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2.65Brown University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.27Brandeis University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.82University of New Hampshire-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.2McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.800.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Brodie | 3.7% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 23.7% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Williams | 70.9% | 22.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Cano | 15.2% | 36.8% | 26.3% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dan Marks | 3.6% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Zolot | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 27.4% | 30.1% | 9.6% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 35.0% | 18.0% |
| Paige Omura | 4.5% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Grace Young | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 16.6% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.