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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.77+2.05vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.33+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.19+1.15vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.13+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.05-0.41vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.83vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.55-3.29vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.91-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Florida State University0.7725.9%1st Place
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4.11Jacksonville University0.3314.2%1st Place
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4.15University of Miami0.1913.1%1st Place
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4.9Jacksonville University-0.138.5%1st Place
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4.59University of South Florida0.0510.1%1st Place
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5.17Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.6%1st Place
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3.71Embry-Riddle University0.5515.8%1st Place
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6.33Rollins College-0.913.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Katie Nelson | 25.9% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Lucien Parker | 14.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
Marina Geilen | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% |
Ella DesChamps | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% |
Timothy Brustoski | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
Brandon DePalma | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
Dylan Hardt | 15.8% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
William Ciniski | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.