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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.46+0.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.63+2.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.89-0.34vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.61-0.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.80-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.54-2.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.09-1.60vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.84-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Northeastern University3.460.7%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University0.630.0%1st Place
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2.66Brown University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.28Brandeis University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.800.0%1st Place
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5.81University of New Hampshire-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.090.0%1st Place
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6.15McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Williams | 71.4% | 20.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Brodie | 3.9% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Marina Cano | 14.5% | 37.1% | 26.1% | 14.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dan Marks | 3.5% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 23.6% | 15.1% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Paige Omura | 4.4% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Zolot | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 29.3% | 11.3% |
| Grace Young | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 15.3% | 70.9% |
| Jessica Horne | 0.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 22.7% | 36.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.