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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.77+1.99vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.55+1.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.33+1.07vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.13+0.93vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.19-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.05-2.47vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.91-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Florida State University0.7726.7%1st Place
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3.67Embry-Riddle University0.5517.8%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University0.3314.1%1st Place
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4.93Jacksonville University-0.138.1%1st Place
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5.17Florida Institute of Technology-0.296.8%1st Place
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4.26University of Miami0.1911.8%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida0.0511.5%1st Place
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6.38Rollins College-0.913.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Katie Nelson | 26.7% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
Dylan Hardt | 17.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
Lucien Parker | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
Ella DesChamps | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 13.9% |
Brandon DePalma | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
Marina Geilen | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
Timothy Brustoski | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
William Ciniski | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.