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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.05+3.49vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.55+1.62vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.33+1.15vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77-0.95vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.33vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.91+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.19-2.67vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.13-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of South Florida0.0510.7%1st Place
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3.62Embry-Riddle University0.5517.1%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University0.3313.1%1st Place
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3.05Florida State University0.7725.1%1st Place
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5.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.296.8%1st Place
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6.25Rollins College-0.914.4%1st Place
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4.33University of Miami0.1912.4%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University-0.1310.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Brustoski | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 8.5% |
| Dylan Hardt | 17.1% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Lucien Parker | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 25.1% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 18.6% |
| William Ciniski | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 42.3% |
| Marina Geilen | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Ella DesChamps | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.