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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+2.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+2.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+4.53vs Predicted
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4Bentley University1.82+4.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49-0.84vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26-1.08vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.48-0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+0.96vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00-3.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49-5.84vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.55-4.29vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.71+2.49vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.15-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.76-3.36vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.18-3.44vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.57-3.66vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-2.65-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.81Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.92Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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5.68Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.71Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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14.49Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.62Middlebury College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.64University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.34Wesleyan University-0.570.0%1st Place
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16.61Bentley University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 20.2% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 16.6% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 18.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 18.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Sinks | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 36.7% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shane Baker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 24.3% | 19.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Elaine Maskus | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 17.1% | 27.4% | 28.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Regan Yeung | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 81.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.