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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.38+1.99vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.44+0.94vs Predicted
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3Florida State University-0.34+1.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy-0.23+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.76+0.02vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-1.03-0.53vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-1.69-0.55vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.66-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of South Florida0.3824.6%1st Place
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2.94Jacksonville University0.4425.8%1st Place
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4.2Florida State University-0.3411.4%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Naval Academy-0.2311.6%1st Place
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5.02University of Miami-0.767.4%1st Place
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5.47Florida Institute of Technology-1.037.0%1st Place
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6.45Rollins College-1.693.5%1st Place
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4.83Jacksonville University-0.668.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Newland | 24.6% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Josh Becker | 25.8% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kaufman | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Colin Caraher | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 11.8% |
| Mary MacDonald | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| Henry Campbell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 46.2% |
| Sara Flowerday | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.