← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.49+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.52+2.12vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.00+2.48vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.69-0.14vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+3.94vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.28+1.65vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University1.82+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.48-1.20vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.55-3.13vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College1.15-0.40vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University3.26-7.05vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-3.03vs Predicted
-
14Wesleyan University-0.57+0.27vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut-0.18-1.32vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-2.65+0.57vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire0.76-5.36vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-0.71-3.41vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University3.49-14.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
-
4.12Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
-
5.48Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
-
3.86Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
-
8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
-
7.65Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.92Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.8Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
-
6.87Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.6Middlebury College1.150.0%1st Place
-
4.95Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.0%1st Place
-
14.27Wesleyan University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
16.57Bentley University-2.650.0%1st Place
-
11.64University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
-
14.59Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
-
4.11Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 18.7% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elaine Maskus | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 18.0% | 26.3% | 29.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Shane Baker | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 25.1% | 19.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Regan Yeung | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 79.4% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Sinks | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 34.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.